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8月以来上涨近14% 金价为何重现升势？_我的网站

一 |     　　近期，黄金价格重现升势。    

    Chen Hai, Chinese ambassador to Ethiopia, speaks at the "Big Market for All: Export to China" Ethiopia Session in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, Aug. 19, 2026. China launched the "Big Market for All: Export to China" Ethiopia Session on Wednesday in Addis Ababa, the capital of Ethiopia, as part of its effort to encourage and expand exports of Ethiopian products to the Chinese market. A total of 33 cooperation deals were signed between companies of the two sides, with a combined contract value of over 330 million U.S. dollars. (Xinhua/Geng Xinning)China launched the "Big Market for All: Export to China" Ethiopia Session on Wednesday in Addis Ababa, the capital of Ethiopia, as part of its effort to encourage and expand exports of Ethiopian products to the Chinese market.
A total of 33 cooperation deals were signed between companies of the two sides, with a combined contract value of over 330 million U.S. dollars.
Speaking at the event, Chen Hai, Chinese ambassador to Ethiopia, said the initiative aims to make the Chinese big market a global shared market, foster a more balanced trade growth and safeguard a multilateral trading system.
Chen said China remains the largest trading partner and source of investment to Ethiopia, and continuously opens up its market through extending zero-tariff treatment, among others.
"These policies not only help lower market access costs for exports to China, enable Ethiopian products to sell more in the Chinese market, and promote the balanced development of bilateral trade, but also attract Chinese and other trading partners to increase investment in Ethiopia's advantageous industries, enhance the competitiveness and reputation of Ethiopian products and achieve agricultural modernization and industrialization," he said.
According to the ambassador, the session is a manifestation of China's emphasis on boosting its bilateral economic and trade cooperation with Ethiopia through importing high-quality products from Ethiopia.
Kassahun Gofe, Ethiopia's minister of trade and regional integration, said Ethiopia's exports to China reached an impressive 369 million U.S. dollars in the 2025/2026 Ethiopian fiscal year that ended on July 7, marking an average annual growth rate of 92 percent over the last five years.
He said the "Big Market for All: Export to China" initiative is vital not only to expand commercial trade but also to advance a bold, strategic and enduring partnership between China and Ethiopia.
"By opening the vast Chinese market wider to Ethiopian goods, China is not only satisfying the growing demands of its consumers for premium products, but it is also creating a resilient, balanced, and mutually beneficial trade architecture," he said.
Chang Hui, deputy director general of the Department of Foreign Trade at China's Ministry of Commerce, who led a delegation of Chinese importing companies, said the all-weather strategic partnership between China and Ethiopia has continued to deepen practical cooperation in various fields, yielding fruitful results in bilateral trade ties.
He said the initiative is a practical step by China to pursue high-standard opening up, actively expand imports from countries around the world, and promote balanced trade.
The trade promotion event, co-hosted by China's Ministry of Commerce, Chinese Embassy in Ethiopia, the Ethiopian Ministry of Trade and Regional Integration, and the Ethiopian Ministry of Finance, brought together more than 200 Chinese and Ethiopian representatives of the import-export trade, who are expected to exchange market information, engage in matchmaking activity and establish and expand supply chains.
    Guests attend the "Big Market for All: Export to China" Ethiopia Session in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, Aug. 19, 2026. China launched the "Big Market for All: Export to China" Ethiopia Session on Wednesday in Addis Ababa, the capital of Ethiopia, as part of its effort to encourage and expand exports of Ethiopian products to the Chinese market. A total of 33 cooperation deals were signed between companies of the two sides, with a combined contract value of over 330 million U.S. dollars. (Xinhua/Geng Xinning)
    Guests attend the "Big Market for All: Export to China" Ethiopia Session in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, Aug. 19, 2026. China launched the "Big Market for All: Export to China" Ethiopia Session on Wednesday in Addis Ababa, the capital of Ethiopia, as part of its effort to encourage and expand exports of Ethiopian products to the Chinese market. A total of 33 cooperation deals were signed between companies of the two sides, with a combined contract value of over 330 million U.S. dollars. (Xinhua/Geng Xinning)
。Wind数据显示，8月24日，国际黄金现货价格（以伦敦金现货价格为例）盘中最高触及4659.96美元/盎司，当日涨幅接近1%，创今年5月份以来新高。拉长时间看，截至8月21日收盘，8月份以来伦敦金现货价格已上涨13.89%。与此形成对比的是，今年上半年，伦敦金现货价格在1月末创出历史新高后便持续回调，整体录得下跌7.20%。　　国际黄金期货价格也同步走高，COMEX黄金期货价格8月24日盘中最高触及4716.7美元/盎司，突破4700美元/盎司关口。截至8月21日收盘，8月份以来涨幅也达到13.50%。　　金价缘何出现上行？领秀财经首席分析师刘思源在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示，黄金价格短期上涨的主要原因是市场对美债实际利率与美元信用重估，市场预期美元贬值，由此引发金价被动上涨。　　如其所述，近期金价重拾升势，美元指数则转而回落。

二 | 自7月末开始，美元指数持续承压，7月27日至8月21日，美元指数下跌2.58%，从101点高位回落至当前99点水平。　　“当前金价的中长期底部主要是由美国财政信用、全球央行购金等结构性力量提供支撑；短期波动仍受实际利率、美元指数和流动性等因素影响。”东方金诚研究发展部高级副总监瞿瑞在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示。　　刘思源认为，全球央行持续购金，使实物黄金需求成为中长线市场支撑。

三 | 在美联储降息周期尚未完成之前，实际利率下行和美元信用重估提供了更多上升动力。　　从资金角度看下半年金价行情，财通证券日前发布的研报认为，整体来看，下半年黄金资金面边际改善，全球央行长期购金趋势不变、实际利率潜在下行预期带动ETF资金进场、投机资金低位回补，共同支撑金价。

四 | 同时，报告称，考虑到每当美元全球储备占比回落，对应黄金储备占比显著抬升，未来各国央行购金趋势仍然强势，新兴市场购金仍有较大提升空间。

五 | 　　展望未来金价走势，瞿瑞认为，基准情景下，美国通胀缓慢回落、美联储维持高利率不变，金价中枢缓步上移至4500美元/盎司附近。乐观情景下，若美联储开启降息周期且全球央行购金加速，金价有望重返5000美元/盎司上方；悲观情景下，若国际地缘冲突升级推动油价冲高、通胀反弹叠加流动性收紧，金价或二次探底至3800美元/盎司。

六 | （文章来源：证券日报）。

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